About
See the Tour differently.
Tour Lens is a golf analytics platform built for serious golf fans, DFS players, and prediction market traders. Every week we run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the upcoming PGA Tour event and publish the full results — win probabilities, top-5/10/20 rates, and course-fit analysis for every player in the field.
Why we built this
Golf analytics has exploded over the last decade — Strokes Gained data is everywhere, DataGolf and similar platforms do excellent work. But most of that data lives behind paywalls or in raw form that requires significant expertise to use. Tour Lens takes that underlying data and turns it into something immediately actionable: a weekly simulation that tells you who the model thinks will contend and why.
The model in brief
Each simulation weights four inputs — Official World Golf Ranking, Strokes Gained metrics (approach, putting, off the tee, around the green), course-fit multipliers, and recent form. The weights shift each week based on the specific demands of that tournament's course. Run 10,000 times, the percentage of simulations each player wins becomes their win probability.
Full model explainer →The track record
We ranked Matt Fitzpatrick #3 at the 2026 Valspar Championship at +1800 odds. He entered Sunday three shots back, birdied the 18th, and won. The model identified him as the best course-fit value in the field. We publish every pick and every result — no cherry-picking.
Full model record →Free vs. Pro
The top 10 sim picks are free every week — always. Pro subscribers get the full simulation table (100+ players), complete SG breakdowns, analyst notes on every player, and the upcoming DFS lineup optimizer. Pro is $4.99/month or $39/year.
See what's included in Pro →Follow along
We post picks, recaps, and course intel every week on X and TikTok. The Monday morning picks drop and the Sunday recap after the winner is crowned are the two best moments of the week.