Masters 2026

Augusta
National

Apr 9–12, 2026 · Augusta, Georgia

Par 72 · 7,565 yards · $21 million purse

Simulation Picks Preview

Full table drops Mon Apr 7
1
Scottie Scheffler+480
22.4% win probability

World #1 seeking third green jacket. Two Masters titles (2022, 2024). Never finished outside the top 20 at Augusta. Elite ball-striking is the perfect Augusta profile.

2
Rory McIlroy+1000
14.8% win probability

Defending champion after emotional 2025 playoff win over Justin Rose. Completed career Grand Slam. Back injury a concern after T46 at The Players — preparation not ideal.

3
Bryson DeChambeau+1000
9.2% win probability

Back-to-back LIV wins entering Augusta. Led 2025 Masters entering the final round before a closing 75. Massive off-the-tee advantage on Augusta par 5s.

4
Jon Rahm+1200
8.1% win probability

2023 Masters champion. Two-time major winner. Returns from LIV with strong course history at Augusta — always dangerous here.

5
Matt Fitzpatrick+2000
6.4% win probability

Tour Lens #3 sim pick at the Valspar — he won. Arrives at Augusta with a week of momentum and peak confidence. Ball-striking precision is elite Augusta profile.

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Amen Corner — Holes 11, 12, 13

The stretch that decides every Masters. Wind from the valley, Rae's Creek lurking, the most photographed par 3 in golf, and the reachable par 5 that creates Sunday chaos. This is where the tournament is won and lost.

11 — White Dogwood
Par 4520 yds

A brutal par 4 that plays into the wind. Water left of the green punishes anything pulled. The safe play is to the right — almost every winner plays away from the flag here.

Difficulty
12 — Golden Bell
Par 3155 yds

The most famous par 3 in golf. Wind swirls unpredictably over Rae's Creek. Club selection is largely guesswork. Playing to the center of the green is always correct.

Difficulty
13 — Azalea
Par 5510 yds

The reachable par 5 where eagles change leaderboards. A bold tee shot hugging the trees sets up a go at the green in two. This is where champions separate.

Difficulty

Key Storylines

Rory McIlroy defends his 2025 title — would be first back-to-back winner since Tiger in 2001–02

McIlroy completed the career Grand Slam at the 2025 Masters — now aims for back-to-back with pressure lifted

Brooks Koepka returning to contention form — finished T13 at The Players, iron play elite

Matt Fitzpatrick arrives as Valspar champion with confidence and momentum

Amen Corner (11–12–13) will play firmer and faster than any recent year — strategy is everything

What Wins Augusta

Par-5 scoring — must be elite on 2, 8, 13, and 15. The winner averages −1.8 on par 5s.

Ball-striking precision — Augusta's slopes punish anything above the hole. Control trajectory.

Amen Corner survival — play conservatively on 11 and 12. Birdie 13 when you're in position.

Mid-iron excellence — approaches into the sloped Bermuda greens from 150–200 yards separate fields.

Putting on Bentgrass — the fastest greens in golf require perfect speed control, not line.

Calm under the roars — Augusta crowd noise during Sunday surges is uniquely rattling.

Augusta Fast Facts

Par72
Yards7,510
Purse$21M
Bermuda greens1997–present
Avg winning score−11 to −15
Par-5 scoring avg4.55 (best holes)

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