Monte Carlo Simulation
Sim Picks
10,000 simulations · win probability · model vs market edge
Final
PGA ChampionshipAronimink Golf Club
58 players · 10,000 sims
Model loves ↑
Patrick Reed
+6000 · 4.36% sim vs 1.6% market
+2.8%
Model fades ↓
Scottie Scheffler
+350 · 7.57% sim vs 22.2% market
-14.6%
PGA Championship — Simulation ResultsTop 10 free · Pro unlocks all 58
| # | Player | Odds | Win% | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Young | +900 | 8.05% | -1.9% |
| 2 | Scottie Scheffler | +350 | 7.57% | -14.6% |
| 3 | Rory McIlroy | +700 | 7.33% | -5.2% |
| 4 | Ludvig Aberg | +1600 | 6.61% | +0.7% |
| 5 | Jon Rahm | +2000 | 6.23% | +1.4% |
| 6 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +1400 | 4.82% | -1.9% |
| 7 | Collin Morikawa | +1800 | 4.49% | -0.8% |
| 8 | Patrick Reed | +6000 | 4.36% | +2.8% |
| 9 | Xander Schauffele | +1600 | 3.63% | -2.3% |
| 10 | Adam Scott | +3000 | 3.22% | 0% |
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48 more players — plus full edge analysis, SG breakdowns, analyst notes
The edge column above is where the money is. Pro sees it for all 58 players.
Edge = model win% minus market implied%. Positive = model sees more value than market. Odds from DraftKings/FanDuel. For entertainment only.