The Record

Called Fitzpatrick at +1800 before the Valspar — he entered Sunday 3 shots back and birdied 18 to win. Our #3 sim pick. The model saw it.

5 of 10 top finishers called at the Valspar — Schauffele (#1), Hovland (#2), Fitzpatrick (#3), Thomas (#4), Koepka (#5) all in our pre-tournament top 10.

Houston miss, but model still fired — Min Woo Lee (#1 sim) finished T3, Gotterup (#3) T6, Knapp (#8) T6, Hojgaard (#10) 2nd. Woodland was our rank #20 at 23% top-20 probability — on the radar.

The model is built to find contenders, not just winners. Golf has too much variance for any model to pick winners consistently — but correctly identifying who will be on the leaderboard Sunday is the real edge for DFS and prediction markets.