Monte Carlo Simulation
Sim Picks
10,000 simulations · win probability · model vs market edge
Final
Texas Children's Houston OpenMemorial Park Golf Course
20 players · 10,000 sims
Model loves ↑
Sam Burns
+5000 · 3.07% sim vs 2% market
+1.1%
Model fades ↓
Scottie Scheffler
+310 · 20.72% sim vs 24.4% market
-3.7%
Texas Children's Houston Open — Simulation ResultsTop 10 free · Pro unlocks all 20
| # | Player | Odds | Win% | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Min Woo Lee | +1400 | 22.05% | +15.4% |
| 2 | Scottie Scheffler | +310 | 20.72% | -3.7% |
| 3 | Chris Gotterup | +1600 | 4.22% | -1.7% |
| 4 | Tony Finau | +2800 | 3.31% | -0.1% |
| 5 | Sam Burns | +5000 | 3.07% | +1.1% |
| 6 | Marco Penge | +6500 | 2.02% | +0.5% |
| 7 | Stephan Jaeger | +3800 | 1.84% | -0.8% |
| 8 | Jake Knapp | +2500 | 1.74% | -2.1% |
| 9 | Kurt Kitayama | +5000 | 1.74% | -0.3% |
| 10 | Nicolai Hojgaard | +4000 | 1.42% | -1% |
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10 more players — plus full edge analysis, SG breakdowns, analyst notes
The edge column above is where the money is. Pro sees it for all 20 players.
Edge = model win% minus market implied%. Positive = model sees more value than market. Odds from DraftKings/FanDuel. For entertainment only.