Monte Carlo Simulation
Sim Picks
10,000 simulations · win probability · model vs market edge
Final
Valero Texas OpenTPC San Antonio — Oaks Course
64 players · 10,000 sims
Model loves ↑
Maverick McNealy
+6500 · 4.54% sim vs 1.5% market
+3%
Model fades ↓
Ludvig Aberg
+2000 · 3.21% sim vs 4.8% market
-1.6%
Valero Texas Open — Simulation ResultsTop 10 free · Pro unlocks all 64
| # | Player | Odds | Win% | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy Fleetwood | +600 | 15.49% | +1.2% |
| 2 | Johnny Keefer | +8000 | 6.83% | +5.6% |
| 3 | Ryo Hisatsune | +4000 | 5.67% | +3.3% |
| 4 | Jordan Spieth | +2500 | 5.28% | +1.5% |
| 5 | Robert MacIntyre | +2200 | 5.23% | +0.9% |
| 6 | Maverick McNealy | +6500 | 4.54% | +3% |
| 7 | J.J. Spaun | +4500 | 3.91% | +1.7% |
| 8 | Sudarshan Yellamaraju | +10000 | 3.81% | +2.8% |
| 9 | Hideki Matsuyama | +3500 | 3.31% | +0.5% |
| 10 | Ludvig Aberg | +2000 | 3.21% | -1.6% |
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54 more players — plus full edge analysis, SG breakdowns, analyst notes
The edge column above is where the money is. Pro sees it for all 64 players.
Edge = model win% minus market implied%. Positive = model sees more value than market. Odds from DraftKings/FanDuel. For entertainment only.